Conviction family
The Prophet
You are comfortable standing alone when you believe you are right, and rarely moved by popular opinion.
Core biasesConfirmation · Overconfidence
Anti-biasesHerd mentality · Loss aversion
In depth
In everyday life, The Prophet is naturally curious and intellectually ambitious. They are comfortable standing alone when they believe they are right and are rarely influenced by popular opinion.
As an investor, The Prophet is drawn to big ideas and long-term trends. They seek to understand where the world is heading over the next decade and position themselves accordingly. Their investment decisions are driven by conviction–unshakable belief–rather than consensus–collective agreement.
Typical bias signature
Confirmation
Core
Overconfidence
Core
Ambiguity aversion
Recency
Anchoring
Loss aversion
Anti-bias
Herd mentality
Anti-bias
StrengthsLong horizons. Independent thinking. Comfort holding through noise.
Blind spotsFiltering evidence through a conclusion you already reached.
Nearby types
Closest typeThe Scholar
Furthest typeThe Herald
Investor who scored similarlyCathie WoodIllustrative only, assigned from public statements.
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